Assumptions Make The Difference
Showing just how much the assumptions matter, CalPERS, the California agency that is one of the largest pension administrators, is considering reducing its earning assumptions. If it does, the amount California taxpayers will have to kick in, skyrockets.
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Calpers is considering reducing the projected rate of return used by the giant pension fund to make investment decisions. A cut could force cash-strapped governments in California to pay millions more each year to cover their employee pension obligations.

Since 2003, the California Public Employees' Retirement System has assumed that the value of its stocks, bonds and other holdings would increase by 7.75% a year. But the likelihood of an extended period of modest economic growth world-wide is fueling doubts inside Calpers that the pension fund can continue aiming so high.

Pressure to lower the target has been building for months. "You'll be lucky to get 6% on your portfolios, maybe 5%," BlackRock Inc. Chairman and Chief Executive Laurence Fink told Calpers board members last July.

Calpers is a client of the New York company. More here.

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